List of possible M4 replacements
MilitaryTimes has listed the contenders for the M4 replacement. They are:
AR-15 Platform (Direct Gas Impingement):
* Colt ACC Monolithic
* Troy Industries M7A1 (can use either DI or piston system)
* Sabre Defense Industries M5
* S&W MP-4
* Precision Reflex PRI (Upper receiver only. Attaches to M4 lower).
AR-15 Platform (Piston):
* LWRC International M6A4 IAR
* H&K 416
* Knight’s Armament SR-15
* Superior Arms S-15
* Barrett REC7 PDW
* Patriot Ordnance P416
Not based on the AR platform:
* Bushmaster/Magpul ACR
* Sig Sauer 556 Classic
* Robinson Armament XCR
* FN SCAR

Sig 556 Classic
I am not sure if this list is complete. The Beretta ARX-160 Carbine is conspicuously missing.
So the XM-8 is entirely out of the running? My understanding is that development is essentially complete and the weapon system was cancelled due to programmatic reasons, nothing technical. It also outperformed the competition in the sand/dust test earlier this year.
Sig would be nice, but id bet money against it, they are to expensive for the brass.
The XM-8 melt under full auto. There were other problems like HK proprietary hardware. Its either the HK way or the highway and the US military didn’t like that.
The Scar program came out of it so US Special Force won’t be force to use the POS.
Mind you, this was just a “show and tell” session, not a formal submission for testing. The US Army hasn’t even written the formal requirements yet for any M4 carbine replacement.
I did not know that the Knight’s SR15 is piston. I thought it was direct impingement.