My SHOW Show 2009 predictions

I started this post a while ago and have been adding to it since. These are my predictions for SHOT Show 2009. Bear in mind that most manufactures have already showcased their 2009 product line which is why there are no predictions for most of the major manufactures.

SayUncle, an unbiased fellow gun blogger, will score each of my personal predictions out of 10 after SHOT and I will publish my score.

My own predictions

1. Ruger will not launch an AR-15.
Despite what I predicted a long time ago, I think Ruger have well and truly missed the boat on this one.

2. A new cartridge will be unveiled.
Always a good way to sell new firearms.

3. A non-autoloader rifle will chamber the .30 Remington AR (.30 RAR) cartridge.
Remington will want to push this cartridge.

4. Magpul will demo some whizz-bang concept gun.
Magpul … what more needs to be said.

5. Ruger LCP available in 9mm.
Makes sense.

6. Ruger Mini-14 will get a minor upgrade but not what people where hoping for.
They will fight tooth-and-nail to prevent the Mini-14 being named in the AWB 2.0. They want make it any more tactical than it is.

7. A new bullpup bolt action rifle will be released.
I have a feeling this year someone is going to push the concept mainstream. Regardless what you think of the idea, it will sell!

8. A 4th Generation Glock, if launched, will not convince any 1911 fanboy that plastic is cool.
heh, not a hard prediction.

Non-Rumours (Basically confirmed)

1. Ruger will release a “wow” product (says Michael Bane)

2. An amazing new air gun will be unveiled (says B.B.)

4. Taurus 4.6mm revolver (hereby referred to as the-most-pointless-revolver-ever-made) (says Michael Bane).

If any other bloggers want to make predictions, I will be more than happy to “independently” score your predictions.

Steve Johnson

Founder and Dictator-In-Chief of TFB. A passionate gun owner, a shooting enthusiast and totally tacti-uncool. Favorite first date location: any gun range. Steve can be contacted here.


  • Joe

    I believe that the Taurus in 4.6 was already confirmed by the president of Taurus on Tom Greshem’s radio shot.

    Also, Michael Bane already had a picture of Magpul’s new rifle on his web site. If it makes it to the public is another question.

  • I suspect that S&W will introduce a M1873 SAA clone before Ruger ever introduces an AR-15.

  • Im hoping that the 9mm LCP comes true. I would go crazy trying to get one.

  • Concerned_Soldier

    Great Post,
    Warning not all predictions will come out of the shot show.

    I agree with the new cartridge, even if I think we really don’t need one.

    Glock, Yes…. BUT why?

    Springfield Armory M1A in .308 with two round burst for MIL/LE Only! You have to admit that would be cool!!

    Being military and having used the M4 and M16, I wish someone (read Colt, or FN) would Sh&tcan the gas system and make a move toward all piston type firearm for the US Military.

    Another would be a new pistol for the US Military, maybe something like the M&P .40.

    Just my 2 cents.

    Thanks Steve, great site, best I have seen so far and visit often.



  • Dave

    Do you really mean a “bullpup bolt action rifle”? Is there anything like that in existence?

    I’m a fan of the bullpup concept and am sad we haven’t seen wider development of the design in the U.S. with autoloaders, but I have a hard time seeing the attraction of a manual action at the rear of a stock.

  • jdun1911

    Bullpup aren’t new. The first bullpup design was Thorneycroft which is a bolt action carbine. I believe it was invented around 1900.

    Bullpup design are fundamentally flawed. Over 100 years and the flaws are still there.

    The US military use their rifles to fight wars and not to show off.

  • dogon1013

    Is Ruger’s WOW product the LCR which was recently leaked (accidentally I believe)? Pictures are up on several boards. At least it looks like ruger didn’t copy someone on this polymer grip revolver (but I don’t know my revolvers very well, so maybe they did).

  • i-luv-1911

    well… an m1911a1 with polymer silde n frame will be great. after all it lightens the gun.

  • paul

    Just remember when you go to the shot show most of the hotels have union workers who support anti gun liberals politicians, so I tip a lot less to the union hotels. The Ventician was non union the last time I was there I tip them a lot more.